The shape of Køge seems upward, especially defensive, while Nykøbing has disappointed the recent matches. The outfit lacks Wohlgemuth centrally and the falls have more exciting profiles, but the match has been moved to Slagelse, eliminating the home advantage.
It speaks for the game:
Køge’s form is upward with points in the last 3 matches, most recently out towards Vejle
Especially the defensive listed by Bozga seems strongly with 0 coincided goals in the last 3 matches
The fight has been moved from Nykøbing to Slagelse, which completely eliminates the home advantage of otherwise home-based Nykøbing
After a good period, Nykøbing had disappointed the recent two games in which the game has not worked
Køge has the opportunity for the strongest setup near a quarantine (see below)
Nykøbing lacks Thorsheim (back, fast)
Køge has won 4/5 of the matches in the last two seasons
In midweek Fredericia ended in odds 2.10 in Nykøbing, now the home advantage is gone, so 2.30 seems too high from a pure odds view
Keep an eye on:
Køge lacks Wohlgemuth (middle, fixed). However, the replacement Hauser has recently received combat training, but it is a weakening
Before the last two matches, Nykøbing has scored points against hard opponents like Roskilde and Esbjerg
Nykøbing has in Pleidrup and Due more exciting and established players
Køge’s recent wins have come against toothless Fremad Amager and Brabrand (the latter Nykøbing could not beat last weekend)
Odds have fallen several places after the news of the runway came out, but there is still value to pick up more places
